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    IOT in E-Commerce Market Is Going to Boom | Major Giants Amazon,Alibaba,eBay

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    NFT Sales Spike in July—but Still Miles Below 2024’s Highs

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    Ethereum Collections Lead NFT Sales Today

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    how NFTs became a global brand and a Web3 “social currency”

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Home Bitcoin

What Q4 holds for Bitcoin – Assessing key levels

September 19, 2024
in Bitcoin
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As Ethereum slows down, will Vitalik Buterin help ETH rise?
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contributor

Posted: September 19, 2024

  • Bitcoin bulls showed up in response to rate hikes as the market receives a confidence boost.
  • Evaluating the risk of long liquidations as volatility makes a comeback.

Bitcoin [BTC] responded positively to the Federal Reserve’s latest announcement regarding interest rate cuts. The highly anticipated decision revealed that rates will come down by 50 basis points.

Investors responded to the interest rate cuts by engaging in a Bitcoin buying spree that pushed the price above $62,000 for the first time this month.

This was in line with previous speculation, since lower rates are expected to have a positive impact on liquidity flows in risk-on assets. But the real question is, where does the market go from here?

A bumpy ride ahead for Bitcoin?

There are high expectations around Bitcoin, especially now that interest rates are coming down. While this may support more upside in the next few months, it also paves the way for more volatility.

Translation, more unexpected pullbacks and highly volatile price movements.

A classic example of why Bitcoin will face more volatility is that high expectations lead to more optimism and a higher appetite for leverage. More long positions are likely to be executed now.

Meanwhile, whales and institutional players see this as open season for liquidations.

Market data coincides with the above expectations. For example, Open interest just soared to its highest level in the last seven weeks.

The estimated leverage ratio which shows the level of leverage at any given time has been rallying since August lows.

See also  Why is Ethereum down below $3000 today? Whales, liquidations, and more...

It pulled back slightly since the 13th of September but is poised to tick higher with recent improvement in market sentiment.

Bitcoin

Source: CryptoQuant

Speaking of sentiment, the rate cuts announcement appears to have had a positive impact on Bitcoin ETFs. There was roughly $52.83 million worth of Bitcoin ETF inflows on the 18th of September.

Positive ETF flows and expected liquidity injections should set the stage for a healthy Bitcoin run-up. However, it may also pave the way for heavy liquidations and pullbacks along the way.

Assessing recent demand

Bitcoin is still at risk of liquidations that may occur soon. On-chain data revealed that the recent wave of liquidity injection into Bitcoin has already dissipated, evidenced by the buy volume (blue).

We also observed a spike in longs (red) which may be at risk of liquidation if the market pulls back unexpectedly.

Bitcoin

Source: Hyblock Capital


Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024–2025


The presence of highly leveraged long positions may pave the way for whales and institutions to manipulate prices.

Despite the possibilities of a retracement, higher liquidity flows are expected to push Bitcoin higher in the next few months.

Next: Ethereum heading for a bear market? Latest order book trends reveal clues

READ ALSO

Bitcoin nears $91K as buying pressure soars, but challenges emerge

Spot Bitcoin ETF Options – How U.S exposure is set to soar after CFTC’s notice

Avatar

contributor

Posted: September 19, 2024

  • Bitcoin bulls showed up in response to rate hikes as the market receives a confidence boost.
  • Evaluating the risk of long liquidations as volatility makes a comeback.

Bitcoin [BTC] responded positively to the Federal Reserve’s latest announcement regarding interest rate cuts. The highly anticipated decision revealed that rates will come down by 50 basis points.

See also  This Bitcoin Miner from Wall Street Plans 317% Hash Rate Jump by September

Investors responded to the interest rate cuts by engaging in a Bitcoin buying spree that pushed the price above $62,000 for the first time this month.

This was in line with previous speculation, since lower rates are expected to have a positive impact on liquidity flows in risk-on assets. But the real question is, where does the market go from here?

A bumpy ride ahead for Bitcoin?

There are high expectations around Bitcoin, especially now that interest rates are coming down. While this may support more upside in the next few months, it also paves the way for more volatility.

Translation, more unexpected pullbacks and highly volatile price movements.

A classic example of why Bitcoin will face more volatility is that high expectations lead to more optimism and a higher appetite for leverage. More long positions are likely to be executed now.

Meanwhile, whales and institutional players see this as open season for liquidations.

Market data coincides with the above expectations. For example, Open interest just soared to its highest level in the last seven weeks.

The estimated leverage ratio which shows the level of leverage at any given time has been rallying since August lows.

It pulled back slightly since the 13th of September but is poised to tick higher with recent improvement in market sentiment.

Bitcoin

Source: CryptoQuant

Speaking of sentiment, the rate cuts announcement appears to have had a positive impact on Bitcoin ETFs. There was roughly $52.83 million worth of Bitcoin ETF inflows on the 18th of September.

Positive ETF flows and expected liquidity injections should set the stage for a healthy Bitcoin run-up. However, it may also pave the way for heavy liquidations and pullbacks along the way.

See also  Bitcoin struggles: How long do you need to wait for a rally?

Assessing recent demand

Bitcoin is still at risk of liquidations that may occur soon. On-chain data revealed that the recent wave of liquidity injection into Bitcoin has already dissipated, evidenced by the buy volume (blue).

We also observed a spike in longs (red) which may be at risk of liquidation if the market pulls back unexpectedly.

Bitcoin

Source: Hyblock Capital


Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024–2025


The presence of highly leveraged long positions may pave the way for whales and institutions to manipulate prices.

Despite the possibilities of a retracement, higher liquidity flows are expected to push Bitcoin higher in the next few months.

Next: Ethereum heading for a bear market? Latest order book trends reveal clues
Tags: AssessingBitcoinHoldskeyLevels

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