Polkadot unable to reclaim $4: Time to short?

Disclaimer: The knowledge offered doesn’t represent monetary, funding, buying and selling, or different kinds of recommendation and is solely the author’s opinion.

• DOT weakened additional after it dropped under $4 and didn’t reclaim it. 
• DOT short-sellers had extra market affect at press time. 

Polkadot [DOT] posted extra losses in early October because the bearish strain endured. Notably, the token shed over +10% between 2 October and press time’s worth of $3.85. 

Is your portfolio inexperienced? Take a look at the DOT Revenue Calculator 

In the meantime, Bitcoin [BTC] defended the $27k however was but to rebound strongly forward of the September CPI knowledge launch on Thursday (12 October). 

In a earlier DOT value evaluation, AMBCrypto projected a doable break above $4 if the $3.9 assist is defended. However the assist was cracked as DOT’s decrease timeframe merchants can count on this. 

Will sellers lengthen features?

Supply: DOT/USDT on TradingView

The prolonged drop under $4 shaped a each day bearish order (OB) of $3.998 – $4.094 (orange). Above it lays one other hurdle and a beforehand invalidated weekly bullish OB (purple). 

On the each day chart, DOT has been making decrease highs since mid-August. The each day and H4 market constructions had been each bearish at press time, additional cementing sellers’ market affect. 

So, a BTC rebound in direction of $28k may tip DOT to mount above $3.9 however falter on the subsequent roadblock at $4.0. So, if the bearish strain persists, sellers may lengthen features to $3.6 through the use of $3.9 and $4.0 hurdles for re-entry. 

A profitable mount above the roadblock at $4.0 will flip the H4 market construction to bullish and will permit bulls to deal with the $4.3 goal. 

In the meantime, DOT’s Spot market demand declined massively from 2 October, as proven by retreating OBV. The unfavorable RSI additional confirmed the promoting strain as bearish strain endured. 

Polkadot sellers had market leverage

Supply: Coinalyze

The southward motion of the CVD Spot (Cumulative Quantity Delta) additional confirmed that sellers have extra market affect at press time. The metric had no reversal by the point of writing, so sellers may overwhelm the market. 

How a lot are 1,10,100 DOTs value at this time?

Alternatively, the Open Rates of interest spiked as DOT costs declined from 2 October. It meant that extra gamers opened contracts to cowl quick positions and revenue from the worth drop. 

So, sellers may lengthen their affect in DOT’s market until BTC surges past $28k.