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Ethereum’s supply nears pre-merge levels – Is PoS failing?

January 20, 2025
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Ethereum’s supply nears pre-merge levels – Is PoS failing?
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  • Ethereum’s supply has surged to 120,501,906, and it is currently approaching its highest level in nearly two years. 
  • The number of validators on the network has also dropped by around 2% in the last three months.

Ethereum’s [ETH] has recorded a significant increase in its total supply, which is approaching its highest level in nearly four years.

The rising supply is hindering Ethereum’s potential for gains given that in recent months, it has underperformed against Bitcoin [BTC] and other top altcoins. 

ETH supply nears two-year high 

CryptoQuant data shows that ETH’s supply currently stands at 120,501,906, which is its highest level since February 2023.

If this rise continues, it could soon reach the level it was before the Ethereum Merge.

Source: CryptoQuant

The Merge, an event that switched Ethereum from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), was meant to make ETH deflationary. It reduced ETH issuance from around 13,000 ETH per day to 1,700 ETH per day depending on staking activity. 

However, Ultrasound Money shows that in just thirty days, ETH’s supply has increased by 45,724 ETH. When the supply rises amid weak demand, it could lead to bearish moves. 

Dropping validator count suggests… 

Ethereum’s PoS system relies on validators, who are required to stake ETH as collateral to validate transactions.

However, in the last three months, the validator count on the network has dropped by around 2% to 1,057,356. 

Source: Validator Queue

This decline suggests that there is a surge in unstaking activity, which is contributing to the rising supply. Per Validator Queue, the amount of staked ETH is currently equivalent to 27% of Ethereum’s circulating supply. 

See also  Is Ethereum's massive $1.26B inflow hinting at a major shakeup?

Declining activity on the Ethereum mainnet

Besides the weakened demand for ETH staking, reduced activity on the Ethereum mainnet could be contributing to the rising supply. Each transaction on Ethereum has a base fee paid in ETH that is later burned.

This burning process is meant to make ETH deflationary. However, when there is reduced activity on the mainnet, it results in fewer tokens being burned, causing the supply to increase.

Per L2Beat data, most activity has been diverted from the Ethereum mainnet to layer two networks. For instance, the 30-day count for transactions on Base stands at 312M, which is nearly ten times higher than Ethereum’s 36M.

As more people rely on Ethereum layer two networks and not the mainnet, it could suppress the burn process, which will impact the amount of ETH being taken out of circulation.

ETH/BTC hits lowest level since 2021 

As Ethereum’s supply dynamics weigh on the price, Bitcoin has continued to outperform the altcoin. ETH/BTC has dropped to 0.02996, marking its lowest level since March 2021.

Source: TradingView


Read Ethereum’s [ETH] Price Prediction 2025–2026


ETH/BTC has been trading within a descending parallel channel on its weekly chart.

Following the recent dip, it has breached the lower trendline of the channel, confirming that Ethereum was in a downtrend and could record new lows. 

Next: How did Korean investors help Bitcoin push to $109K?

READ ALSO

Ethereum Looks Ready To Break Out Of 4-Year Consolidation, Analyst Says Price Will ‘Go Insane’

Binance loses 300K ETH – Here’s what it means for bulls eyeing $2.7K

  • Ethereum’s supply has surged to 120,501,906, and it is currently approaching its highest level in nearly two years. 
  • The number of validators on the network has also dropped by around 2% in the last three months.

Ethereum’s [ETH] has recorded a significant increase in its total supply, which is approaching its highest level in nearly four years.

See also  Ethereum’s Plunge Could Be Over: This Key Pattern Signals A Rally Back To $4,000

The rising supply is hindering Ethereum’s potential for gains given that in recent months, it has underperformed against Bitcoin [BTC] and other top altcoins. 

ETH supply nears two-year high 

CryptoQuant data shows that ETH’s supply currently stands at 120,501,906, which is its highest level since February 2023.

If this rise continues, it could soon reach the level it was before the Ethereum Merge.

Source: CryptoQuant

The Merge, an event that switched Ethereum from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), was meant to make ETH deflationary. It reduced ETH issuance from around 13,000 ETH per day to 1,700 ETH per day depending on staking activity. 

However, Ultrasound Money shows that in just thirty days, ETH’s supply has increased by 45,724 ETH. When the supply rises amid weak demand, it could lead to bearish moves. 

Dropping validator count suggests… 

Ethereum’s PoS system relies on validators, who are required to stake ETH as collateral to validate transactions.

However, in the last three months, the validator count on the network has dropped by around 2% to 1,057,356. 

Source: Validator Queue

This decline suggests that there is a surge in unstaking activity, which is contributing to the rising supply. Per Validator Queue, the amount of staked ETH is currently equivalent to 27% of Ethereum’s circulating supply. 

Declining activity on the Ethereum mainnet

Besides the weakened demand for ETH staking, reduced activity on the Ethereum mainnet could be contributing to the rising supply. Each transaction on Ethereum has a base fee paid in ETH that is later burned.

This burning process is meant to make ETH deflationary. However, when there is reduced activity on the mainnet, it results in fewer tokens being burned, causing the supply to increase.

See also  Crust Network Unveils EthDA to Advance Ethereum’s Scalability Efforts

Per L2Beat data, most activity has been diverted from the Ethereum mainnet to layer two networks. For instance, the 30-day count for transactions on Base stands at 312M, which is nearly ten times higher than Ethereum’s 36M.

As more people rely on Ethereum layer two networks and not the mainnet, it could suppress the burn process, which will impact the amount of ETH being taken out of circulation.

ETH/BTC hits lowest level since 2021 

As Ethereum’s supply dynamics weigh on the price, Bitcoin has continued to outperform the altcoin. ETH/BTC has dropped to 0.02996, marking its lowest level since March 2021.

Source: TradingView


Read Ethereum’s [ETH] Price Prediction 2025–2026


ETH/BTC has been trading within a descending parallel channel on its weekly chart.

Following the recent dip, it has breached the lower trendline of the channel, confirming that Ethereum was in a downtrend and could record new lows. 

Next: How did Korean investors help Bitcoin push to $109K?
Tags: EthereumsFailingLevelsNEARsPospremergesupply

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Memecoin Project Obama6900 (OBX) Joins the Fight Against Malaria with Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets (LLINs)

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Capturing the Growth of Asset-Backed Finance via Blockchain-Enabled Opportunities

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Manta Network and SPACE ID Unveil .manta Domains – A Web3 Revolution

Manta Network and SPACE ID Unveil .manta Domains – A Web3 Revolution

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E-Signature Software Market to See Huge Demand by 2032: Adobe Sign, HelloSign, PandaDoc

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Bullish Sentiment Surrounds AVAX Price As Republic Adopts Avalanche Blockchain

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