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Home Ethereum

Ethereum to outshine Bitcoin in January 2025? Analyst shares bold prediction

December 25, 2024
in Ethereum
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Bitcoin ETF outflows cross $288M amidst Labor Day’s ‘risk-off mode’
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Journalist

Posted: December 25, 2024

  • An analyst foresees ETH outperforming BTC in January. 
  • A shift in ETF flows and seasonality data supported this outlook. 

Ethereum [ETH] could outperform Bitcoin [BTC] in January if the market shift seen in the past two days continues. 

According to crypto analyst and investor Michael van de Poppe, ETH’s outperformance could be likely due to outflows in U.S. spot BTC ETFs while ETH recorded inflows. 

For context, BTC ETFs have seen four consecutive daily outflows, unlike ETH, which saw positive inflows worth $183M in the past two days.

This could be considered a positive outlook for ETH relative to BTC in the short term. 

Ethereum vs Bitcoin

Source: ASXN

ETH to outperform BTC?

Poppe added that the ETH/BTC ratio, which tracks ETH’s relative price performance against BTC, could cross 0.04 in January.

At press time, the ratio was at 0.033, so a move to 0.04, as predicted by Poppe, would translate to ETH rallying against BTC by 20%. 

Ethereum vs Bitcoin

Source: ETH/BTC, TradingView

However, the 0.04 has been a short-term resistance since November. The previous recoveries, which also triggered the altcoin season momentum, were stopped at the roadblock.

However, cracking the hurdle could accelerate ETH outperformance to the trendline resistance. 

Although the two days’ data of ETF flows might not be enough to predict a medium shift correctly, seasonality data leaned towards Poppe projection. 

Since 2017, ETH’s strongest price performance has always occurred in Q1. Coinglass data showed that, on average, ETH saw 92% gains in Q1. Out of the past six years, ETH has only closed two years in red. 

See also  Bitcoin price shows promise - what about its 2024 prediction?

From a monthly perspective, ETH saw the best rallies in January, with an average of 23% gains, further reinforcing the potential bullish outlook for early 2025.  

ethereum vs Bitcoin

Source: Coinglass


Read Ethereum [ETH] Price Prediction 2024-2025


On the price charts, the immediate level that could kick off ETH’s bullish reversal was the previous support and range lows at $3.5K. 

Despite the positive outlook, as shown by the price being above key moving averages, the $3.5K could attract more traders. 

ETH vs BTC

Source: ETH/USDT, TradingView

Next: BRETT: Why a decline is likely before hitting a new all-time high in 2025

READ ALSO

Ethereum Looks Ready To Break Out Of 4-Year Consolidation, Analyst Says Price Will ‘Go Insane’

Binance loses 300K ETH – Here’s what it means for bulls eyeing $2.7K

Avatar

Journalist

Posted: December 25, 2024

  • An analyst foresees ETH outperforming BTC in January. 
  • A shift in ETF flows and seasonality data supported this outlook. 

Ethereum [ETH] could outperform Bitcoin [BTC] in January if the market shift seen in the past two days continues. 

According to crypto analyst and investor Michael van de Poppe, ETH’s outperformance could be likely due to outflows in U.S. spot BTC ETFs while ETH recorded inflows. 

For context, BTC ETFs have seen four consecutive daily outflows, unlike ETH, which saw positive inflows worth $183M in the past two days.

This could be considered a positive outlook for ETH relative to BTC in the short term. 

Ethereum vs Bitcoin

Source: ASXN

ETH to outperform BTC?

Poppe added that the ETH/BTC ratio, which tracks ETH’s relative price performance against BTC, could cross 0.04 in January.

See also  Core Chain Introduces XLink to Enable Seamless Bitcoin Transactions in DeFi

At press time, the ratio was at 0.033, so a move to 0.04, as predicted by Poppe, would translate to ETH rallying against BTC by 20%. 

Ethereum vs Bitcoin

Source: ETH/BTC, TradingView

However, the 0.04 has been a short-term resistance since November. The previous recoveries, which also triggered the altcoin season momentum, were stopped at the roadblock.

However, cracking the hurdle could accelerate ETH outperformance to the trendline resistance. 

Although the two days’ data of ETF flows might not be enough to predict a medium shift correctly, seasonality data leaned towards Poppe projection. 

Since 2017, ETH’s strongest price performance has always occurred in Q1. Coinglass data showed that, on average, ETH saw 92% gains in Q1. Out of the past six years, ETH has only closed two years in red. 

From a monthly perspective, ETH saw the best rallies in January, with an average of 23% gains, further reinforcing the potential bullish outlook for early 2025.  

ethereum vs Bitcoin

Source: Coinglass


Read Ethereum [ETH] Price Prediction 2024-2025


On the price charts, the immediate level that could kick off ETH’s bullish reversal was the previous support and range lows at $3.5K. 

Despite the positive outlook, as shown by the price being above key moving averages, the $3.5K could attract more traders. 

ETH vs BTC

Source: ETH/USDT, TradingView

Next: BRETT: Why a decline is likely before hitting a new all-time high in 2025
Tags: AnalystBitcoinBoldEthereumJanuaryoutshinePredictionShares

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