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Home Ethereum

Ethereum could take ‘months to be deflationary’ – What about ETH’s bull run?

May 23, 2024
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Ethereum could take ‘months to be deflationary’ – What about ETH’s bull run?
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  • ETH’s inflationary state persisted as issuance remained 3X the burn rate. 
  • Analysts were bullish on ETH post-ETF approval, but short-term drop could not be overruled. 

Ethereum’s [ETH] inflationary state debate has been re-ignited again on ‘Crypto Twitter’ amidst ETH ETF approval speculation.

Notably, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Huogan reavaled that Ethereum’s issuance currently stood at approximately $10 million per day. 

“Total ETH issuance is ~$10 million per day. That’s before you consider the burn.”

A spot check on Glassnode confirmed Hougan’s claim. Per the crypto intelligent data provider, daily issuance at the network on the 22nd of May was 2.58K ETH.

Based on press time market prices of $3.7K, that translated to $9.5 million. 

Ethereum

Source: ETH Daily Issuance

Ethereum lost its deflationary status following the Dencun upgrade, as ETH’s burn rate (the pace of removing ETH from supply) trailed the issuance rate. 

In the last 30 days, the network’s ETH issuance was 3X more than the burn rate. A similar trend was observed on the 7-day chart as well.

Ethereum inflationary state

Source: Ultra Sound Money

It meant that there was more ETH supply that could derail further price prospects.

After The Merge in 2022, ETH’s issuance attained a deflationary status, prompting BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes to refer to it as a ground for ‘ETH’s bull run.’

One of the Ethereum educators, Adriano Feria, noted that it could take ETH ‘months to be deflationary’ again.  

ETH to rally 75% post-ETF approval confirmation?

Nevertheless, the ETF approval catalyst could outweigh the inflationary status and front a massive run.

See also  Justin Sun cashes out 19,000 ETH amid Ethereum's rally - details here

According to Bernstein, a private investment firm, ETH could rally 75% to $6,600 after the approval, citing BTC’s price action in January after the ETF launch. 

Crypto asset trading firm, QCP Capital, shared a similar sentiment, albeit with varying nuances based on ETH funding rates and volume changes.

According to the firm’s recent Telegram update, ETH’s price could stabilise in the short term and rally in the mid-term. 

‘ETH Perp funding went from 50% to flat in 12 hours, with June forwards still yielding 15%, possibly reflecting diminished short-term speculation but sustained medium-term bullishness.’

This meant that traders in the futures market expected ETH to rise in the coming weeks. However, QCP Capital underscored that ‘short-term downside volatility’ could be likely. 

That said, Ethereum whales have been positioning accordingly for the ETF speculation, meaning the $4K level could be breached if approval is confirmed.

At the time of writing, ETH consolidated below $3800, 22% down from its last cycle’s all-time high of $4,867. 

Next: Could Solana be next in line for a spot ETF after Ethereum?

READ ALSO

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  • ETH’s inflationary state persisted as issuance remained 3X the burn rate. 
  • Analysts were bullish on ETH post-ETF approval, but short-term drop could not be overruled. 

Ethereum’s [ETH] inflationary state debate has been re-ignited again on ‘Crypto Twitter’ amidst ETH ETF approval speculation.

Notably, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Huogan reavaled that Ethereum’s issuance currently stood at approximately $10 million per day. 

“Total ETH issuance is ~$10 million per day. That’s before you consider the burn.”

A spot check on Glassnode confirmed Hougan’s claim. Per the crypto intelligent data provider, daily issuance at the network on the 22nd of May was 2.58K ETH.

See also  The Ethereum Foundation Is Selling ETH Again, Is The Top In?

Based on press time market prices of $3.7K, that translated to $9.5 million. 

Ethereum

Source: ETH Daily Issuance

Ethereum lost its deflationary status following the Dencun upgrade, as ETH’s burn rate (the pace of removing ETH from supply) trailed the issuance rate. 

In the last 30 days, the network’s ETH issuance was 3X more than the burn rate. A similar trend was observed on the 7-day chart as well.

Ethereum inflationary state

Source: Ultra Sound Money

It meant that there was more ETH supply that could derail further price prospects.

After The Merge in 2022, ETH’s issuance attained a deflationary status, prompting BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes to refer to it as a ground for ‘ETH’s bull run.’

One of the Ethereum educators, Adriano Feria, noted that it could take ETH ‘months to be deflationary’ again.  

ETH to rally 75% post-ETF approval confirmation?

Nevertheless, the ETF approval catalyst could outweigh the inflationary status and front a massive run.

According to Bernstein, a private investment firm, ETH could rally 75% to $6,600 after the approval, citing BTC’s price action in January after the ETF launch. 

Crypto asset trading firm, QCP Capital, shared a similar sentiment, albeit with varying nuances based on ETH funding rates and volume changes.

According to the firm’s recent Telegram update, ETH’s price could stabilise in the short term and rally in the mid-term. 

‘ETH Perp funding went from 50% to flat in 12 hours, with June forwards still yielding 15%, possibly reflecting diminished short-term speculation but sustained medium-term bullishness.’

This meant that traders in the futures market expected ETH to rise in the coming weeks. However, QCP Capital underscored that ‘short-term downside volatility’ could be likely. 

See also  ETH faces sell-off fears amidst increased whale activity

That said, Ethereum whales have been positioning accordingly for the ETF speculation, meaning the $4K level could be breached if approval is confirmed.

At the time of writing, ETH consolidated below $3800, 22% down from its last cycle’s all-time high of $4,867. 

Next: Could Solana be next in line for a spot ETF after Ethereum?
Tags: BullDeflationaryEthereumETHsmonthsRun

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Memecoin Project Obama6900 (OBX) Joins the Fight Against Malaria with Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets (LLINs)

October 28, 2023
Tezos 2023 Outlook: An Overview of Tezos (XTZ)

Tezos 2023 Outlook: An Overview of Tezos (XTZ)

November 2, 2023
UK risks regulating NFTs the wrong way, says Mintable CEO

UK risks regulating NFTs the wrong way, says Mintable CEO

October 30, 2023
Capturing the Growth of Asset-Backed Finance via Blockchain-Enabled Opportunities

Capturing the Growth of Asset-Backed Finance via Blockchain-Enabled Opportunities

August 3, 2024
Ethereum crosses $3.2K as L2 crosses new milestone: What now?

Ethereum crosses $3.2K as L2 crosses new milestone: What now?

May 6, 2024

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EDITOR'S PICK

Cornell University Study Proposes Bitcoin as a Driver for Renewable Energy Development – Report

Cornell University Study Proposes Bitcoin as a Driver for Renewable Energy Development – Report

November 23, 2023
Ethereum Price Downward Drift: Decline Resumes Again

Ethereum Price Downward Drift: Decline Resumes Again

June 11, 2024
Ethereum Price Eyes $4,000 With Rising Channel Pattern

Ethereum Price Eyes $4,000 With Rising Channel Pattern

January 25, 2025
Don’t sell your Bitcoin just yet: This exec explains why you should HODL BTC

Don’t sell your Bitcoin just yet: This exec explains why you should HODL BTC

March 15, 2024

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