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- BTC made significant gains in the past day, rising by 2.08%.
- Despite the recent gains, Bitcoin remained stuck in a sustained bear phase.
Over the last 24 hours, Bitcoin [BTC] has made significant gains, rising from a local low of $55554 to $58038 at press time. This marked a 2.08% increase over the past day.
These gains are coupled with weekly gains of 1.83% a recovery from a sharp decline to $52546.
These current market conditions raise the question of whether BTC will experience a sustained recovery or a mere correction before further dip. The market sentiment remains bearish as analysts see a potential dip.
This sentiment is shared by CryptoQuant analysts who posit that BTC is stuck in a bear phase, citing the 365-day moving average and MVRV.
BTC stuck in bear phase
According to CryptoQuant, the Bull-Bear Market cycle has remained in the bear phase over the past two weeks.
Since the last time BTC was trading at $62k, the crypto has remained in a bear phase, dropping to a low of $52k in this period.
As long as it remains in this phase, a significant rally remains unexpected with potential for further correction.
Source: CryptoQuant
Secondly, the analysis cited that BTCβs MVRV ratio has remained below its 365-day moving average since the 26th of August. Such a scenario suggests the potential for a further decline, as was witnessed in May 2021.
During the 2021 cycle, BTC declined by 36% in two months β this reoccurred in November 2021.
Source: CryptoQuant
Another market indicator signaling a bearish trend is the long-term holdersβ SOPR. According to CryptoQuant, long-term holdersβ SOPR has declined since July, with LTH spending at lower profit margins.
When LTHs spend at lower profit margins, it shows a lack of new demand for BTC. Thus, BTC will only show a buying signal when LTH SOPR charts start an uptrend movement.
Source: CryptoQuant
Finally, BTC has decoupled from gold as its prices have declined while gold prices have been soaring, hitting new highs. Thus, the correlation between gold and BTC has turned negative, where goldβs price increased as BTC declined.
This suggested that investors were becoming risk-averse as they turned to traditional assets as a safe haven, thus avoiding volatile assets.
Source: CryptoQuant
What Bitcoinβs charts suggest
Looking ahead, both Bitcoinβs LTH-SOPR and STH-SOPR declined over the past week. When the LTH-SOPR declines, it suggests that long-term holders were increasingly selling their crypto at a loss.
When the STH-SOPR declines, it indicates that short short-term holders are also selling at a loss, due to FUD and fear of further downside.
Source: CryptoQuant
Read Bitcoinβs [BTC] Price Prediction 2024β2025
Additionally, Bitcoinβs NRPL has turned from positive to negative, indicating capitulation. This meant that investors have lost confidence in the cryptoβs direction and were selling regardless of their losses.
Therefore, based on this analysis, BTCβs bear phase will continue, and the prices are likely to experience continued corrections. Thus, if bears continue to dominate, Bitcoin will drop to the $56k support level.
Source: CryptoQuant
- BTC made significant gains in the past day, rising by 2.08%.
- Despite the recent gains, Bitcoin remained stuck in a sustained bear phase.
Over the last 24 hours, Bitcoin [BTC] has made significant gains, rising from a local low of $55554 to $58038 at press time. This marked a 2.08% increase over the past day.
These gains are coupled with weekly gains of 1.83% a recovery from a sharp decline to $52546.
These current market conditions raise the question of whether BTC will experience a sustained recovery or a mere correction before further dip. The market sentiment remains bearish as analysts see a potential dip.
This sentiment is shared by CryptoQuant analysts who posit that BTC is stuck in a bear phase, citing the 365-day moving average and MVRV.
BTC stuck in bear phase
According to CryptoQuant, the Bull-Bear Market cycle has remained in the bear phase over the past two weeks.
Since the last time BTC was trading at $62k, the crypto has remained in a bear phase, dropping to a low of $52k in this period.
As long as it remains in this phase, a significant rally remains unexpected with potential for further correction.
Source: CryptoQuant
Secondly, the analysis cited that BTCβs MVRV ratio has remained below its 365-day moving average since the 26th of August. Such a scenario suggests the potential for a further decline, as was witnessed in May 2021.
During the 2021 cycle, BTC declined by 36% in two months β this reoccurred in November 2021.
Source: CryptoQuant
Another market indicator signaling a bearish trend is the long-term holdersβ SOPR. According to CryptoQuant, long-term holdersβ SOPR has declined since July, with LTH spending at lower profit margins.
When LTHs spend at lower profit margins, it shows a lack of new demand for BTC. Thus, BTC will only show a buying signal when LTH SOPR charts start an uptrend movement.
Source: CryptoQuant
Finally, BTC has decoupled from gold as its prices have declined while gold prices have been soaring, hitting new highs. Thus, the correlation between gold and BTC has turned negative, where goldβs price increased as BTC declined.
This suggested that investors were becoming risk-averse as they turned to traditional assets as a safe haven, thus avoiding volatile assets.
Source: CryptoQuant
What Bitcoinβs charts suggest
Looking ahead, both Bitcoinβs LTH-SOPR and STH-SOPR declined over the past week. When the LTH-SOPR declines, it suggests that long-term holders were increasingly selling their crypto at a loss.
When the STH-SOPR declines, it indicates that short short-term holders are also selling at a loss, due to FUD and fear of further downside.
Source: CryptoQuant
Read Bitcoinβs [BTC] Price Prediction 2024β2025
Additionally, Bitcoinβs NRPL has turned from positive to negative, indicating capitulation. This meant that investors have lost confidence in the cryptoβs direction and were selling regardless of their losses.
Therefore, based on this analysis, BTCβs bear phase will continue, and the prices are likely to experience continued corrections. Thus, if bears continue to dominate, Bitcoin will drop to the $56k support level.
Source: CryptoQuant
ΠΠΎΠ²ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΊΠ²Π°Π»ΠΈΡΠΈΠΊΠ°ΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΎΠ½Π»Π°ΠΉΠ½ maps-edu.ru
Π Π½Π°ΡΡΠΎΡΡΠ΅Π΅ Π²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΡ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡΡ Π΄ΠΈΡΡΠ°Π½ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠ΅ ΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΠ²Π»ΡΠ΅ΡΡΡ ΠΏΠΎΠ»Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π½ΠΎΡΠΌΠΎΠΉ. ΠΠ΅Π΄Ρ ΠΎΠ½Π»Π°ΠΉΠ½ Π²ΠΎΠ·ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΉΡΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ΡΠΊΡ Π·Π½Π°Π½ΠΈΠΉ, ΠΏΠΎΠ²ΡΡΠΈΡΡ ΠΊΠ²Π°Π»ΠΈΡΠΈΠΊΠ°ΡΠΈΡ Π΄ΠΎΠ»ΠΆΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ, ΠΏΡΠΎΠΉΡΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡΠΎΠ²ΠΊΡ ΠΈ ΠΌΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎΠ΅ Π΄ΡΡΠ³ΠΎΠ΅ Π² ΠΊΠΎΠΌΡΠΎΡΡΠ½ΠΎΠ΅ Π΄Π»Ρ ΠΠ°Ρ Π²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΡ ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎ Π²ΡΠΈΠ³ΡΡΡΠ½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΠΎΠΈΠΌΠΎΡΡΠΈ. ΠΠ° ΡΠ°ΠΉΡΠ΅ maps-edu.ru ΠΡ ΡΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅ΡΠ΅ Π½Π°ΠΉΡΠΈ ΡΠ°ΡΠΏΠΈΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΌΡ ΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΉ, ΡΡΠΎΠΈΠΌΠΎΡΡΡ, Π²ΡΠ΅ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄ΡΠΎΠ±Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΠΎ Π½Π°ΡΠ΅ΠΉ ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΠ΅ ΡΠΆΠ΅ ΡΠ΅ΠΉΡΠ°Ρ.
ΠΡΠΎΠΉΡΠΈ Π°ΠΊΠΊΡΠ΅Π΄ΠΈΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡ ΠΌΠ΅Π΄ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ² ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ Π² ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΡΠ°Π²Π»Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π°ΠΊΠ°Π΄Π΅ΠΌΠΈΠΈ. ΠΠ°ΡΠ°Π»ΠΎΠ³ ΡΠΎΠ΄Π΅ΡΠΆΠΈΡ ΡΠ²ΡΡΠ΅ 1800 ΡΠ°Π·Π½ΠΎΠΎΠ±ΡΠ°Π·Π½ΡΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΌ ΠΊΡΡΡΠΎΠ², ΠΈΠ½ΠΎΠ³Π΄Π° ΡΠ»ΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ Π½Π°ΠΉΡΠΈ, ΡΡΠΎ Π½Π΅ΠΎΠ±Ρ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΠΌΠΎ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΎ ΠΠ°ΠΌ. ΠΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΡΠ·ΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡΡΡ ΠΏΠΎΠΈΡΠΊΠΎΠΌ, ΡΠΊΠ°Π·Π°Π² Π½Π°ΠΏΡΠ°Π²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΈ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΠΏΠ°ΡΠ°ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΡ. Π Π΅Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΠ΅ Π½Π°ΠΏΡΠ°Π²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ: ΡΡΡΠΎΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΡΡΠ²ΠΎ, Π°Π³ΡΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΡ, ΡΡΠΈΡΠΏΡΡΠ΄Π΅Π½ΡΠΈΡ ΠΈ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΎ, Π΄ΠΎΠΊΡΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΈ Π΄Π΅Π»ΠΎΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΡΡΠ²ΠΎ, Π΄Π΅ΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡ, ΠΏΠΎΠΆΠ°ΡΠ½Π°Ρ Π±Π΅Π·ΠΎΠΏΠ°ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ, ΠΏΠ΅Π΄Π°Π³ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΠΊΠ°, ΡΠΎΡΠΈΠ°Π»ΡΠ½Π°Ρ ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΠ°, Π°Π½ΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΡΠΎΡΠΈΡΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠ°Ρ Π·Π°ΡΠΈΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΡΡΡ, ΠΎΡ ΡΠ°Π½Π° ΡΡΡΠ΄Π°, ΡΠ»Π΅ΠΊΡΡΠΎΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΈΠΊΠ°, ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΡΠ°ΠΆΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΡ, Π³ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎΠ΅ Π΄Π΅Π»ΠΎ ΠΈ ΠΌΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΠ΅ Π΄ΡΡΠ³ΠΈΠ΅.
ΠΠ±ΡΠ°ΡΠ°ΠΉΡΠ΅ΡΡ Π·Π° ΠΏΡΠΎΡ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΠ»ΡΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠ΅ΠΉ ΠΏΠΎ Π½ΠΎΠΌΠ΅ΡΡ ΡΠ΅Π»Π΅ΡΠΎΠ½Π° 8(800)777-06-74 ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΎΡΠΎΡΠΌΠΈΡΠ΅ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ°ΡΠ½ΡΠΉ Π·Π²ΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΊ. Π Π°Π±ΠΎΡΠ°Π΅ΠΌ ΠΏΠΎ Π²ΡΠ΅ΠΉ Π Π€ ΠΈ ΡΠ°ΠΊΠΆΠ΅ Π·Π²ΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΊ ΡΠ²Π»ΡΠ΅ΡΡΡ Π±Π΅ΡΠΏΠ»Π°ΡΠ½ΡΠΌ. ΠΠ²ΠΎΠ½ΠΈΡΠ΅ ΠΈ ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π΅Π΄ΠΆΠ΅Ρ ΠΎΠΊΠ°ΠΆΠ΅Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΎΡΡ ΠΠ°ΠΌ Π½Π°ΠΉΡΠΈ Π½ΡΠΆΠ½ΡΠΉ ΠΏΠ°ΠΊΠ΅Ρ ΠΏΠΎ ΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ, ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΊΠ°ΠΆΠ΅Ρ ΠΎΠ± ΡΠΏΠΎΡΠΎΠ±Π°Ρ ΠΎΠΏΠ»Π°ΡΡ ΠΈ ΡΠΎΡΠΈΠ΅Π½ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅Ρ ΠΏΠΎ ΠΏΡΠ°ΠΉΡΡ. ΠΠ°ΡΠ° ΡΠΈΡΠΌΠ° Π½Π°Ρ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡΡΡ ΠΏΠΎ Π°Π΄ΡΠ΅ΡΡ: Π³. ΠΡΠΊΡΡΡΠΊ, ΡΠ». Π‘ΡΠ΅ΠΏΠ°Π½Π° Π Π°Π·ΠΈΠ½Π°, Π΄. 6.
ΠΠΎ Π²ΠΎΠΏΡΠΎΡΡ ΡΡΠΎΠΌΠ°ΡΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠΈΠ»Π°ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠ°Ρ ΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΡ Π½Π° ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠΌ ΠΏΡΡΠΈ. ΠΡΠ΅ΠΈΠΌΡΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π° ΠΎΠ½Π»Π°ΠΉΠ½ ΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΊΠ°Π·ΡΠ²Π°ΡΡ ΡΠ΅ΠΉΡΠ°Ρ Π½Π΅ ΡΡΠ΅Π±ΡΠ΅ΡΡΡ. ΠΡΠ΅ Π·Π½Π°ΡΡ ΡΡΠΈ ΠΏΡΠ΅ΠΈΠΌΡΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π° ΠΈ Π²ΡΡ ΡΠ°ΡΠ΅ ΠΎΡΡΠ°Π½Π°Π²Π»ΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡΡΡ Π½Π° maps-edu.ru Π·Π° Π½Π°Ρ ΡΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ½ΡΠΉ ΠΎΠΏΡΡ. ΠΠ½ΠΎΠΆΠ΅ΡΡΠ²ΠΎ ΠΊΠ²Π°Π»ΠΈΡΠΈΡΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½ΡΡ ΠΏΡΠ΅ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π°Π²Π°ΡΠ΅Π»Π΅ΠΉ, Π΄ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ², Π΄ΠΎΠ±ΡΡΡ ΠΎΡΠ·ΡΠ²ΠΎΠ² ΠΈ Π½Π΅ ΡΠΎΠ»ΡΠΊΠΎ, ΡΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΌΡ ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΏΠΎΡ Π²Π°ΡΡΠ°ΡΡΡΡ. ΠΡΠΈΡ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡΠ΅ ΠΈ ΠΡ Π·Π° Π½Π΅ΠΎΠ±Ρ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΠΌΡΠΌΠΈ Π½Π°Π²ΡΠΊΠ°ΠΌΠΈ.
ΠΡΠ»ΠΈ Π²Ρ ΠΈΡΠΊΠ°Π»ΠΈ Π³Π΄Π΅ ΠΎΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΡΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡ ΡΠ»ΠΎΠΌΠ°Π½ΡΡ ΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΈΠΊΡ, ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠ΅ Π²Π½ΠΈΠΌΠ°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ – ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠΈ ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠΎΠ½Ρ