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    IOT in E-Commerce Market Is Going to Boom | Major Giants Amazon,Alibaba,eBay

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    PENGU token loses 20% in August amid Pudgy Party game launch

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    The #1 CopyTrading Exchange-Bitget Turns 5, $100 Bonus for Newcomers

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    IOT in E-Commerce Market Is Going to Boom | Major Giants Amazon,Alibaba,eBay

    IOT in E-Commerce Market Is Going to Boom | Major Giants Amazon,Alibaba,eBay

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    Enhancing Security in Online Gambling with Blockchain Technology

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    NFT sales plunge to $129.6m, Pudgy Penguins jump 63%

    PENGU token loses 20% in August amid Pudgy Party game launch

    PENGU token loses 20% in August amid Pudgy Party game launch

    Base claims top 3 spot in 30-day NFT volume: DappRadar

    Base claims top 3 spot in 30-day NFT volume: DappRadar

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    floor down up to 18% in the last week (week ended August 26, 2023), volumes still robust

    Blue chip NFTs sink double digits as ETH retreats from record highs

    Blue chip NFTs sink double digits as ETH retreats from record highs

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    What’s Behind the Double-Digit Declines?

    Telegram NFT Gifts Hit $57M in Sales as Users Rush In

    Telegram NFT Gifts Hit $57M in Sales as Users Rush In

    NFT sales drop 25% to $134m, CryptoPunks plunge 59%

    NFT sales drop 25% to $134m, CryptoPunks plunge 59%

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    Ethereum Rules With $56.57M Sales, Solana and Polygon Compete

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    Climb the SCOR Invitational Leaderboard and Earn Bigger $SCOR Airdrops

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    Pudgy Penguins Game ‘Pudgy Party’ Launches on iOS and Android

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    Pudgy Penguins and Mythical Games Launch Pudgy Party Game

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    Stability World AI Adds Games to Transform the Future of Web3 Gaming

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  • Blockchain
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    Capturing the Growth of Asset-Backed Finance via Blockchain-Enabled Opportunities

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    MetaMask Users Can Now Link Binance and OKX Accounts to Their Portfolio Dashboard

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    What Is Impermanent Loss? How It Works, and How to Avoid It

    What Is an Algorithmic Stablecoin? How It Works and Why It Matters

    What Is an Algorithmic Stablecoin? How It Works and Why It Matters

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    What Is Volatility in Crypto? Why It Happens and How to Stay Safe

    What is Cloud Mining? A Beginner’s Guide

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    What Are Bitcoin Runes and RunesDEX? – Cryptocurrency News & Trading Tips – Crypto Blog by Changelly

    6 Under-$1 Utility Tokens with Real-World Use to Watch in the 2025 Bull Run

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    What is Crypto FOMO? How to Avoid Emotional Investing Mistakes

    What Is Crypto Arbitrage and How to Use It in Trading?

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    What’s the Difference & Which Is Better to Trade?

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  • Analysis
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    Bitcoin Sees Historic Rise in Shark and Whale BTC Wallets, Records New High: Santiment

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    The #1 CopyTrading Exchange-Bitget Turns 5, $100 Bonus for Newcomers

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Home Altcoins

Bitcoin Price Could Skyrocket Like In March If This Happens

October 31, 2023
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Bitcoin Price Could Skyrocket Like In March If This Happens
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CryptoGames now supports Tether (USDT) for deposits and announces partnership with Bitinvestor

Toncoin heats up: What does $398M in trading volume indicate?

In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Ram Ahluwalia, the CEO of Lumida Wealth, weighed in on the potential market impacts on Bitcoin, particularly highlighting the significance of a failed Treasury auction. Lumida Wealth, recognized as an SEC registered investment advisor, is known for its specialization in alternative investments and digital assets.

Ahluwalia’s tweet emphasized the need to monitor Bitcoin’s response to specific macroeconomic events. He stated, “The test for Bitcoin as a macro asset will be ‘What happens if there is a failed Treasury auction?’ This year, Bitcoin rallied during (1) the March bank failures and (2) as Treasury rates have rattled markets. Here is the third test …”

Will Bitcoin See Another 50%+ Rally?

To recall, Bitcoin’s price shot up by over 55% in the aftermath of the US banking crisis earlier this year. On March 10, 2023, the Silicon Valley Bank’s unprecedented collapse, attributed to a bank run coupled with a capital crisis, became a focal point of the broader 2023 United States banking crisis. This saw a domino effect with multiple small to mid-sized US banks falling within a span of five days. While the global banking sector stocks plummeted, Bitcoin experienced a substantial surge in its value.

More recently, Bitcoin is rallying even as treasury rates continue to unsettle global markets. With the 10-year US Treasury yield crossing the 5% mark for the first time in 16 years, there are indications of rising interest rates on government bonds. Typically, such yield increments may push investors to reconfigure their portfolios away from risk assets, adding to market volatility. However, akin to gold, Bitcoin has recently been acting as a safe-haven asset in turbulent times.

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Diving deeper into the topic, Ahluwalia elucidated, “The Bitcoin rally, in part, is due to concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to intervene with Yield Curve Control or QE. […] Fidelity makes the case that the Fed may need to engage in Japanese style Yield Curve Control. If so, that would be strongly bullish for real estate, stocks, Bitcoin, bonds, REITs, TIPS and real assets more generally. It would also be bearish for the USD. The US has hard choices ahead.” He further emphasized the importance of structuring portfolios to withstand potential economic shocks and underscored the importance of commodities in weathering inflationary pressures.

Ahluwalia shared his perspective on the current state of the Federal Reserve and the Treasury markets, pointing to recent Treasury auctions that displayed softer bid-to-cover ratios. “There is a legitimate argument that the Fed may need to intervene in Treasury markets. The recent Treasury auctions have weaker bid-to-cover ratios. Japan and American households are the marginal buyer…and they’ve been rewarded with losses,” Ahluwalia remarked.

Post-pandemic debt dynamics
Post-pandemic debt dynamics | Source: X @ramahluwalia

Three Peat For BTC As Safe-Haven

He added that the Fed’s balance sheet “is already upside down […] it has the equivalent of negative equity (called a Deferred Asset) – an accounting treatment that is not permitted for private companies… The Federal Reserve…has $1.5 trillion mark-to-market losses because it bought Treasuries & MBS. For the first time in 107 years, this bank has negative net interest margin. Its losses are poised to exceed its capital base.”

Ahluwalia explained that a treasury auction is deemed unsuccessful when the US Department of the Treasury initiates its regular auctioning of government securities, such as Treasury bills, notes, or bonds, but fails to attract adequate bids to cover the entirety of the securities on offer. Essentially, this signals a lack of investor interest in acquiring the government’s debt tools at the predetermined interest rates or yields.

See also  Pyth Network launches price feed data on Bitcoin layer 2 Merlin Chain

On Bitcoin’s intrinsic value, Ahluwalia noted, “My view on Bitcoin is that it is a ‘hedge against negative real rates’. That’s CFA talk for what Bitcoiners refer to colloquially as ‘money printer go brrr’.” He also stressed the potential repercussions on risk assets if long-end rates were to see a significant spike.

“If long-end rates do blow out, that would hurt risk assets like long-duration Treasuries. The higher discount rate would cause a re-rating in stocks – much like we saw in 2022 and the last two months. However, If Bitcoin can rally during a ‘yield curve dislocation scenario that would give Bitcoin a ‘three peat’. Bitcoin would then find a welcome home on a greater number of institutional balance sheets,” Ahluwalia concluded his bullish thesis for Bitcoin.

At press time, BTC traded at $34,145.

Bitcoin price
Bitcoin price formed a bull pennant, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

Tags: BitcoinMarchPriceSkyrocket

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