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Bitcoin HODLing vs selling: A look at BTC trader behavior post-halving

April 25, 2024
in Bitcoin
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Bitcoin HODLing vs selling: A look at BTC trader behavior post-halving
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  • There appeared a reluctance among BTC traders to cash their profits.
  • Early HODLers were distributing to newer entrants.

It has been a roller coaster ride for Bitcoin [BTC] after its most recent halving.

The initial response was positive, with the king coin shooting up to touch $67,000 three days after the pivotal event, according to CoinMarketCap. However, the gains have been erased, as BTC pulled back by 4% in the last 24 hours to pre-halving levels.

It thus becomes critical to understand where does the world’s largest digital asset stands after halving, as well as insights about its next moves in the near to medium term.

Profit-taking still on the lower side

According to on-chain analytics firm Santiment, there appeared a reluctance among BTC traders to cash their profits. The Network Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL) indicator remained low, and the pattern aligned with previous peak periods of 2017 and 2021.

The number of BTC holders was also seen to be increasing alongside.

Santiment referred to this phase as “irrational divergence” wherein market was refusing to sell despite rising prices.

While rooted in the BTC’s long-term growth potential, the phase has historically preceded “significant market tops”, thus making it sound more like a bearish signal.

Bitcoin NRPL indicator

Source: Santiment

HODLers were redistributing

In contrast, the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) metric declined sharply in recent months, signaling an active redistribution phase.

During redistribution, wealth transfers from early HODLers to newer market participants. After a 12-month redistribution cycle, the market has historically returned to an accumulation phase, lending support to the belief that the bull market will continue.

Bitcoin redistribution

Source: Santiment


Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator

See also  BlackRock's Bitcoin holdings near Satoshi’s - Is a BTC battle brewing?

The aforementioned deductions reflected in the supply distribution across key cohorts. Notably, small holders, or those holding up to 1 whole Bitcoin, were seen to be buying after the halving.

To the contrary, sharks and whales, having reserves between 100 to 100,000 coins, were distributing their coins.

Bitcoin supply distribution

Source: Santiment

Next: Akash Network: Is AKT ready for another 50% surge?

READ ALSO

Bitcoin nears $91K as buying pressure soars, but challenges emerge

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  • There appeared a reluctance among BTC traders to cash their profits.
  • Early HODLers were distributing to newer entrants.

It has been a roller coaster ride for Bitcoin [BTC] after its most recent halving.

The initial response was positive, with the king coin shooting up to touch $67,000 three days after the pivotal event, according to CoinMarketCap. However, the gains have been erased, as BTC pulled back by 4% in the last 24 hours to pre-halving levels.

It thus becomes critical to understand where does the world’s largest digital asset stands after halving, as well as insights about its next moves in the near to medium term.

Profit-taking still on the lower side

According to on-chain analytics firm Santiment, there appeared a reluctance among BTC traders to cash their profits. The Network Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL) indicator remained low, and the pattern aligned with previous peak periods of 2017 and 2021.

The number of BTC holders was also seen to be increasing alongside.

Santiment referred to this phase as “irrational divergence” wherein market was refusing to sell despite rising prices.

See also  Bitcoin: The state of BTC ETFs as the race for approval continues

While rooted in the BTC’s long-term growth potential, the phase has historically preceded “significant market tops”, thus making it sound more like a bearish signal.

Bitcoin NRPL indicator

Source: Santiment

HODLers were redistributing

In contrast, the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA) metric declined sharply in recent months, signaling an active redistribution phase.

During redistribution, wealth transfers from early HODLers to newer market participants. After a 12-month redistribution cycle, the market has historically returned to an accumulation phase, lending support to the belief that the bull market will continue.

Bitcoin redistribution

Source: Santiment


Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator


The aforementioned deductions reflected in the supply distribution across key cohorts. Notably, small holders, or those holding up to 1 whole Bitcoin, were seen to be buying after the halving.

To the contrary, sharks and whales, having reserves between 100 to 100,000 coins, were distributing their coins.

Bitcoin supply distribution

Source: Santiment

Next: Akash Network: Is AKT ready for another 50% surge?
Tags: BehaviorBitcoinBTCHODLingPostHalvingSellingTrader

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Memecoin Project Obama6900 (OBX) Joins the Fight Against Malaria with Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets (LLINs)

Memecoin Project Obama6900 (OBX) Joins the Fight Against Malaria with Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets (LLINs)

October 28, 2023
Tezos 2023 Outlook: An Overview of Tezos (XTZ)

Tezos 2023 Outlook: An Overview of Tezos (XTZ)

November 2, 2023
UK risks regulating NFTs the wrong way, says Mintable CEO

UK risks regulating NFTs the wrong way, says Mintable CEO

October 30, 2023
How to Earn Keys to Boost Your HMSTR Airdrop

How to Earn Keys to Boost Your HMSTR Airdrop

September 10, 2024
Capturing the Growth of Asset-Backed Finance via Blockchain-Enabled Opportunities

Capturing the Growth of Asset-Backed Finance via Blockchain-Enabled Opportunities

August 3, 2024

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EDITOR'S PICK

You Won’t Believe How Much SHIB Whales Have Bought

You Won’t Believe How Much SHIB Whales Have Bought

October 29, 2023
GameFi tokens show signs of returning narrative with 700% volume growth

GameFi tokens show signs of returning narrative with 700% volume growth

July 24, 2024
Bitcoin mining difficulty breaks yet another all-time high

Bitcoin mining difficulty breaks yet another all-time high

November 3, 2024
DTCC, Chainlink Complete Pilot to Accelerate Fund Tokenization with JPMorgan, Templeton, BNY Mellon Participating

DTCC, Chainlink Complete Pilot to Accelerate Fund Tokenization with JPMorgan, Templeton, BNY Mellon Participating

May 19, 2024

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