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TL;DR
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As cryptocurrency becomes broadly adopted and regulated, its volatility will go down – which means the ‘opportunity velocity’ will go down.
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Meaning…It’ll require larger initial investments and longer time frames to make the kinds of returns we have been enjoying in the current market.
Full Story
In todays “fun fact we saw on Twitter that made us go ‘huh, that’s neat'” news:
@Jamie1Coutts made an interesting analogy:
“The perfect parallel for today’s #crypto market? The US stock market of the early 1900s.”
Unfortunately he gives no real evidence to back the statement up outside of ‘trust me bro’ anecdotes…
Buuuut – we can kinda see what he’s getting at:
“In the pre-1933 & 1934 Securities Act era, the US stock market operated in a ‘loose’ regulatory environment, was highly fragmented, large whales dominated, and information asymmetry ruled the day.
>>> Very much like crypto markets today”
Our takeaway?
If (IF!) Jamie is right here, it signals that:
As cryptocurrency becomes broadly adopted and regulated, its volatility will go down – which means the ‘opportunity velocity’ will go down.
Which is a needlessly fancy way of saying…
It’ll require larger initial investments and longer time frames to make the kinds of returns we have been enjoying in the current market.
E.g. Bitcoin going from $16k in January, to $42k today? Regulation and broader adoption will likely push those prices and time frames up.
So the next time we’re experiencing some face melting, panic inducing downward volatility, we’re going to remind ourselves of this story.
